Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.241134 0.328165 0.430502 0.557696 0.709510 0.882935 1.093999
2026-01-11 0.119796 0.214889 0.347233 0.535380 0.786470 1.100892 1.514842
2026-01-18 0.057911 0.143914 0.287491 0.519565 0.860799 1.320866 1.963680
2026-01-25 0.028286 0.102265 0.251361 0.522478 0.955028 1.573311 2.476828
2026-02-01 0.011128 0.067248 0.208935 0.500715 1.004798 1.765266 2.921702
2026-02-08 0.005038 0.051933 0.196395 0.524412 1.125073 2.066058 3.536110
2026-02-15 0.001624 0.037032 0.175719 0.525694 1.205636 2.310855 4.082490
2026-02-22 0.000629 0.031330 0.175793 0.568091 1.360572 2.679445 4.827895
2026-03-01 0.000140 0.024860 0.169121 0.593353 1.485815 3.007025 5.525279
2026-03-08 0.000005 0.018077 0.155619 0.598625 1.572711 3.275772 6.142890
2026-03-15 NaN 0.011907 0.137551 0.586837 1.623573 3.485711 6.676154
2026-03-22 NaN 0.008653 0.129217 0.597908 1.719924 3.776028 7.344355
2026-03-29 NaN 0.005712 0.118032 0.598845 1.797588 4.042348 7.991794
2026-04-05 NaN 0.003054 0.101343 0.577470 1.824842 4.221557 8.506555
2026-04-12 NaN 0.001530 0.088094 0.561843 1.861928 4.419217 9.057616
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000834 0.081123 0.565473 1.942633 4.699426 9.753100
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000274 0.068627 0.542721 1.957984 4.858494 10.251034
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000160 0.067966 0.567949 2.091649 5.245143 11.142161
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000049 0.062311 0.569382 2.166136 5.521840 11.853778
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000037 0.065854 0.614263 2.354030 6.022843 12.959485
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000016 0.065572 0.640978 2.497132 6.441566 13.932786
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000002 0.061266 0.646557 2.585792 6.757238 14.735654
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.054109 0.634111 2.625411 6.977635 15.378336